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Arizona Voters' Agenda

IDENTIFIES WHAT ARIZONA’S LIKELY VOTERS WANT CANDIDATES TO ADDRESS
AS THEY COMPETE FOR THEIR VOTES IN THE 2022 ELECTION

With all statewide offices and the entire legislature on the ballot, Arizona’s 2022 midterm elections will set the course for the future of Arizona. To elect leaders aligned to their priorities, Arizonans deserve the opportunity to decide who to vote for based on knowing where candidates stand on the issues they deem most important to the state’s future.

What do Arizona voters want candidates to discuss as they compete for votes in this election that is consequential to Arizona’s future?

This is what CFA asked Arizona’s likely voters in an effort to center the narrative of the election on the voices of Arizonans, what matters most to them and where we have common ground to move the state forward.

The Arizona Voters’ Agenda was developed from new survey research of Republican, Democratic, and independent/unaffiliated voters of all ages. The Agenda includes what a majority of likely voters say are the critical issues facing the state and makes clear that they want to hear candidates’ positions and plans when considering whom they will support with their vote. The results counter the narrative of division and polarization that dominates political dialogue.

The Arizona Voters’ Agenda illuminates “big questions” for candidates. We encourage debate moderators, members of the press, citizens, and local voters use these questions to foster productive dialogue and seek out real answers.

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Arizona Voters’ Agenda


The Arizona Voters’ Agenda is built on where a majority of likely voters across political and age groups agree and reflects what they care about most. Issues on the Arizona Voters’ Agenda meet all of the following criteria:

  • “Strongly Agree/Support” is 50% and above among All Likely Voters
  • The sum of "Somewhat Agree/Support" and "Strongly Agree/Support" (i.e., Total Support) is 50% and above among every political affiliation and age group surveyed

KEY THEMES

The results show the majority of likely Arizona voters across the political spectrum agree on what they value and what they want from their political leaders:

  • Priorities on likely voters’ minds
    • Responses to the open-ended question, “What do you want the candidates to be discussing as they compete for your vote in this year's election?” revealed themes consistent with key issues facing the state as seen in previous surveys.
    • The top responses (in order of the number of mentions, in descending order): immigration, economy, education, environment, politics & elections.
  • Likely voters want positions and solutions from candidates
    • In response to the question, “When it comes to selecting a candidate to vote for, which of the following is the top factor that helps you to make your decision?” nearly two-thirds of all likely voters will choose candidates on their plans and where they stand on key issues, and rank ideology much lower:
      • 38% Position on the issues
      • 27% Has clear plans or solutions
      • 12% Ideology
      • 10% Party registration
      • 7% Trust
      • 3% Other
  • Voters agree more than disagree
    • We asked likely voters to answer questions on public policy and to rank the importance of the following issues: education, economy & inflation, water, environment, election reform, and immigration.
    • Despite polarized political dialogue, there is significant agreement and common ground among voters on many public policy issues.
  • Read the official announcement with analysis of the Education findings.
  • Big Question for Candidates: “What is your plan to ensure that Arizona students have quality teachers and principals?”
Policy Items

 

Ensuring that Arizona schools have quality teachers and principals.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
89% 97% 96% 95% 98% 93% 98% 100% 96% 96%

 

Expanding career and technical education opportunities.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
78% 97% 96% 100% 98% 98% 100% 96% 96% 96%

 

Increasing teacher pay.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
72% 88% 80% 90% 98% 95% 90% 90% 85% 86%

 

Increasing the number of Arizona students who pursue and complete education or training beyond high school (including university, community college or technical/trade school).

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
70% 94% 90% 98% 99% 98% 92% 100% 94% 89%

 

Increasing funding for K-12 public education.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
65% 82% 69% 90% 97% 92% 82% 82% 84% 78%

 

Reducing financial barriers for students going to college.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
58% 80% 65% 90% 98% 88% 82% 87% 79% 74%

 

Closing gaps in educational outcomes for vulnerable populations, including low-income, those with disabilities, and English language learners.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
58% 83% 71% 90% 95% 90% 85% 92% 79% 78%

 

Increasing access and affordability of early learning for 3 and 4-year-olds.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
52% 78% 66% 85% 90% 93% 82% 82% 77% 70%

 

Value Statements

 

Every school should have the resources necessary to deliver quality education that prepares every child for the future, no matter their skin color, background, or zip code.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
88% 97% 95% 100% 98% 98% 98% 99% 96% 96%

 

Closing achievement gaps among our students is important to ensuring our state can produce the skilled workforce necessary for a strong economic future for Arizona.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
61% 86% 80% 90% 94% 90% 87% 90% 84% 83%

 

CFA coordinated with Education Forward Arizona (EFA), who conducted an additional poll to gain deeper insights into the priorities of likely Arizona voters on education, recognizing education is consistently one of the top issues for Arizonans. Learn more about the findings at educationforwardarizona.org.

 

  • Read the official announcement with analysis of the Economy & Inflation findings.
  • Big Question for Candidates: “What do you think the state should do with the growing surplus?”
Policy Items

 

Supporting Arizona's long-term economic growth.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
76% 95% 95% 98% 95% 95% 93% 96% 95% 94%

 

Addressing inflation.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
75% 92% 95% 93% 88% 93% 92% 91% 95% 90%

 

Addressing rising costs.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
69% 88% 88% 88% 89% 93% 92% 87% 91% 83%

 

Reducing gas prices.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
69% 87% 93% 83% 79% 90% 87% 87% 88% 84%

 

Increasing housing affordability.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
68% 88% 84% 88% 94% 98% 92% 84% 85% 88%

 

Increasing job creation and business investment.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
67% 92% 95% 88% 91% 93% 98% 92% 91% 90%

 

Value Statements

 

Economists forecast Arizona will have a $4 billion budget surplus over the next three years. Instead of continuing to cut taxes, we should be increasing funding for education, public safety, roads, and other critical investments that will boost our long-term economic growth.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
54% 82% 70% 93% 95% 92% 72% 80% 80% 84%

 

When you compare Arizona to other states across the country, our tax burden is relatively low. Everyone should pay their fair share of taxes to ensure that the state can continue to meet its core obligations.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
51% 84% 78% 90% 92% 86% 73% 76% 86% 89%

 

  • Read the official announcement with analysis of the Water findings.
  • Big Question for Candidates: “What should Arizona do to protect our water future and secure our long-term water supplies?”
Policy Items

 

Securing Arizona's water future and addressing our long-term drought.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
83% 95% 94% 93% 98% 100% 97% 96% 94% 94%

 

Preserving and protecting Arizona's rivers, natural areas, and wildlife.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
80% 96% 93% 95% 99% 100% 92% 96% 94% 97%

 

Value Statements

 

The drought only continues to worsen. It has increased the intensity of our fire season and forced a declaration of water shortage on Lake Mead. We need to do something to protect our water future and secure our long-term water supplies.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
74% 94% 89% 98% 99% 97% 95% 92% 93% 93%

 

We must support sustainable practices that protect our air, land, and water, and foster a high quality of life for all.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
65% 90% 80% 93% 100% 98% 88% 91% 89% 88%

 

  • Read the official announcement with analysis of the Environment findings.
  • Big Question for Candidates: “What sustainable practices should continue and be implemented to protect Arizona’s air, land, and water and foster a high quality of life for all?”
Policy Items

 

Preserving and protecting Arizona's rivers, natural areas, and wildlife.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
80% 96% 93% 95% 99% 100% 92% 96% 94% 97%

 

Increasing investments and measures to prevent forest fires on state land.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
71% 93% 90% 93% 95% 93% 92% 92% 91% 94%

 

Improving air quality.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
62% 88% 80% 98% 99% 95% 90% 87% 85% 88%

 

Value Statements

 

We must support sustainable practices that protect our air, land, and water, and foster a high quality of life for all.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
65% 90% 80% 93% 100% 98% 88% 91% 89% 88%

 

  • Read the official announcement with analysis of the Election Reform findings.
  • Big Question for Candidates: “What should Arizona do to keep our elections secure while preventing barriers to participation?”
Policy Items

 

Ensuring that all candidates, regardless of party affiliation, have the same signature requirements to qualify for a particular elected office.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
67% 87% 92% 85% 82% 92% 85% 86% 86% 88%

 

Offering early in-person voting over multiple weeks leading up to Election Day.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
55% 74% 60% 75% 93% 85% 75% 80% 78% 63%

 

Value Statements

 

We can do more to secure our elections system and protect it from outside interference and fraudulent voting. At the same time, we must make sure that it remains easy to vote – and not create barriers to participation that disproportionately hurt certain communities.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
61% 87% 86% 85% 91% 93% 87% 85% 85% 88%

 

  • Read the official announcement with analysis of the Immigration findings.
  • Big Question for Candidates: “How do you define a functioning border for commerce, and what is your vision for immigration reform?”
Policy Items

 

Creating a functioning border for commerce and immigration.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
64% 87% 84% 90% 89% 86% 90% 89% 87% 84%

 

Creating a pathway to citizenship for DACA recipients and dreamers who were brought to Arizona as children.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
61% 83% 67% 90% 98% 92% 88% 85% 79% 79%

 

Enacting comprehensive immigration reform that includes a pathway to citizenship.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
60% 81% 70% 95% 92% 93% 88% 89% 76% 76%

 

Value Statements

 

Immigration reform will ultimately strengthen the country. Mexico is Arizona's largest trading partner; we need to get serious about supporting comprehensive immigration reform because it will strengthen our economy and promote border security.

All Respondents Republican IND/Oth. Democrat Age 20-29 Age 30-39 Age 40-49 Age 50-64 Age 65+
Strongly Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support Total Support
53% 81% 73% 88% 92% 86% 87% 85% 79% 76%

 

 

 

The N=500 survey was conducted among likely voters from April 12 through 19, 2022. The poll surveyed likely Arizona 2022 General Election voters who have a history of electoral participation and was balanced to model the likely turnout of voters across party, age, region, and gender. The live interview survey of voters was conducted in English and Spanish by HighGround Public Affairs to landline and cell phone users. Based on previous midterm election trends, the partisan advantage was set at +8% GOP. The margin of error is ±4.3%.

Survey Demographics
Survey Demographics

The Arizona Voters’ Agenda initiative is supported in part by Arizona Community Foundation, Helios Education Foundation, Pharos Foundation, Rodel Foundation of Arizona, Thomas R. Brown Family Foundation, and Southern Arizona Leadership Council. CFA also coordinated with Education Forward Arizona, who conducted an additional poll to gain deeper insights into likely Arizona voters’ priorities on education. The findings are available at educationforwardarizona.org.

The Arizona Voters’ Agenda builds on Center for the Future of Arizona’s longstanding survey research efforts to identify what matters most to Arizonans across a broad range of critical issues, provide data to guide policy and action, and mobilize communities and leaders to build The Arizona We Want.

CFA’s most recent and widely known Gallup Arizona Survey, which illuminates the long-term goals of Arizonans and their shared priorities for the next decade, found that Arizonans agree on more than they disagree and identified seven Shared Public Values and over 40 actions on which Arizonans agree are needed to create The Arizona We Want.

The Gallup survey also highlighted the gap between what Arizonans say matters most to them and the actions and political rhetoric of elected leaders and candidates for office. In this election year, CFA wanted to put the voices of likely Arizona voters in the forefront and ask: “What do Arizona’s likely voters consider the most important issues facing our state, and what do they want candidates to address as they compete for their votes in this election?” –which became the basis of the Arizona Voters’ Agenda initiative.

There is much common ground among voters across the political spectrum: voters agree on more than they disagree about the important issues facing Arizona and where solutions can be found. It provides an opportunity for both candidates and the media to reframe the discussion around topics that a majority of Arizonans believe in. These are common beliefs that can unite the electorate – instead of dividing it. Together we can create The Arizona We Want.