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2026 Arizona Voters' Agenda

Arizona Voters' Priorities Are Clear.

Every election cycle, Center for the Future of Arizona (CFA) conducts public opinion surveys of Republican, Democratic, and independent/unaffiliated likely voters to explore their perspectives on the election and issues facing the state. The Voters' Agenda focuses on what the vast majority of voters care about.

It offers a framework for understanding what voters want leaders to prioritize, the opportunities those priorities create for Arizona's future, and the questions they raise for candidates and leaders throughout the election.

Explore the research by topic below.

 

2026 Arizona Voters' Agenda Results

Understanding the 2026 Research

The 2026 Arizona Voters' Agenda includes three types of findings that together provide a more complete resource for discussion, decision-making, and action.

  • Views & Perceptions: additional context about voters' experiences, concerns, and perspectives. They help explain what voters are experiencing, why certain issues matter, and how Arizonans are thinking about Arizona's future.
  • Arizona Voters' Agenda – Shared Priorities: issues and approaches that earned broad agreement across political affiliations and generations and met CFA's high standard for inclusion in the Arizona Voters' Agenda.
  • Questions for Candidates & Leaders: The research also raises important questions for candidates and leaders. These questions emerge directly from what Arizona voters told us and are intended to help connect voter priorities with leadership, plans, and proposed solutions.

See the survey methodology and how we define consensus to determine the issues that make it onto this action-oriented roadmap.

 

Housing

Affordability has become one of the defining challenges affecting Arizonans' daily lives, financial security, and confidence in their future. The research shows housing has emerged as the clearest source of financial strain while also exploring how voters think Arizona should respond to growing housing challenges.

Compared to 2 years ago, would you say cost of living has gotten better, worse or stayed about the same?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Better 6% 12% 1% 3% 3%   4% 9% 9%
About the same 12% 19% 6% 7% 7% 9% 11% 12% 14%
Total Worse 82% 68% 93% 89% 90% 91% 83% 78% 76%
Don’t Know, Refused 8% 7% 8% 8% 17% 5% 7% 3% 10%
 

 

Compared to 2 years ago, would you say Arizona's economy has gotten better, worse or stayed about the same?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Better 15% 22% 8% 14% 12% 13% 16% 17% 17%
About the same 28% 33% 21% 29% 19% 29% 19% 32% 34%
Total Worse 49% 37% 63% 50% 53% 53% 59% 48% 40%
Don’t Know, Refused 8% 7% 8% 8% 17% 5% 7% 3% 10%
 

 

Compared to 2 years ago, would you say the State of Arizona's budget has gotten better, worse or stayed about the same?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Better 8% 6% 9% 8% 7% 4% 8% 13% 5%
About the same 22% 20% 23% 24% 22% 26% 12% 18% 30%
Total Worse 38% 42% 37% 34% 44% 38% 44% 38% 35%
Don’t Know, Refused 32% 31% 31% 35% 27% 37% 36% 32% 30%
 

 

Compared to 2 years ago, would you say inflation has gotten better, worse or stayed about the same?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Better 9% 16% 3% 7% 5% 1% 11% 12% 12%
About the same 13% 20% 3% 14% 2% 7% 16% 17% 16%
Total Worse 77% 63% 94% 76% 92% 91% 73% 70% 71%
Don’t Know, Refused 1% 1%   2% 2% 1%   2% 1%
 

 

Compared to 2 years ago, would you say gas prices have gotten better, worse or stayed about the same?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Better 8% 16% 2% 4% 2% 1% 6% 11% 14%
About the same 11% 18% 1% 11% 5% 7% 13% 15% 10%
Total Worse 79% 62% 97% 81% 92% 89% 79% 72% 73%
Don’t Know, Refused 2% 3%   3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3%
 

 

How difficult do you think it is for most people in Arizona to cover their basic monthly expenses, such as housing, groceries, gas, utilities, and healthcare?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Not Difficult 7% 13% 2% 3% 5% 5% 4% 8% 8%
Total Difficult 90% 83% 96% 94% 95% 95% 94% 88% 85%
Don’t Know, Refused 3% 4% 2% 4%     1% 4% 7%
 

 

For you personally, how difficult is it to cover your basic monthly expenses, such as housing, groceries, gas, utilities, and healthcare?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Not Difficult 52% 59% 43% 52% 36% 42% 50% 55% 62%
Total Difficult 48% 41% 57% 48% 64% 58% 49% 45% 38%
Don’t Know, Refused 0% 0%         1%    
 

 

Which of the following costs do you think are contributing most to financial strain for people in Arizona right now?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Housing 52% 51% 52% 54% 56% 50% 52% 52% 51%
Groceries 28% 28% 28% 29% 17% 28% 26% 28% 34%
Gas/Transportation 22% 24% 21% 19% 17% 14% 21% 22% 28%
Utilities 10% 14% 4% 10% 5% 5% 10% 13% 12%
Childcare 8% 7% 11% 6% 8% 20% 3% 8% 6%
Healthcare 16% 19% 16% 11% 15% 11% 16% 22% 14%
Wages not keeping up with inflation 44% 35% 50% 49% 63% 59% 54% 35% 30%
Other 2% 1% 3% 1% 4% 4% 4% 3% 1%
Don’t Know, Refused 1% 1%   1%       1% 2%
 

 

I would support more housing options such as duplexes, townhomes, casitas, and homes on smaller lots being built in my community if it helped address housing affordability in Arizona.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Agree 66% 50% 86% 66% 85% 68% 64% 65% 59%
Total Disagree 31% 48% 11% 30% 15% 28% 30% 33% 39%
Don’t Know, Refused 3% 2% 3% 4%   4% 6% 2% 3%
 

 

Rising housing and other living costs in Arizona have made me more likely to consider moving to another state.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Agree 43% 34% 48% 49% 69% 49% 52% 38% 28%
Total Disagree 55% 65% 49% 49% 31% 50% 46% 59% 70%
Don’t Know, Refused 2% 1% 3% 2%   1% 2% 3% 2%

Which of the following statements comes closer to your view on housing?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Arizona should make it easier to build more housing, even if local communities have less control over development decisions. 24% 19% 29% 25% 39% 32% 22% 20% 18%
Other 0% 0%           1%  
Local communities should maintain control over housing development decisions, even if it limits how much housing gets built. 68% 72% 62% 69% 53% 58% 72% 73% 72%
Both 1% 1% 1%         1%  
Don’t Know, Refused 5% 6% 5% 3% 8% 5% 3% 5% 5%
Neither 2% 1% 4% 3%   4% 2% 2% 3%
  • What would you do to make Arizona more affordable for people who live and work here?
  • Voters support more housing options but also want local communities to retain control over development decisions. How would you address both priorities?
  • Arizona voters have consistently identified housing affordability as an important priority. Where do you see the greatest opportunity to make meaningful progress?
  • Rising living costs are causing a significant number of voters, especially younger Arizonans, to consider leaving the state. What would you do to help Arizona retain workers and families?
WATER & ENERGY

Arizona voters identify long-term water supplies as one of the state's most pressing challenges. The research shows broad concern about Arizona's water future alongside strong agreement on actions voters believe are important to protecting the state's long-term prosperity and quality of life.

How confident are you that Arizona’s water systems can reliably support the state’s future growth and extreme heat conditions?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Confident 28% 33% 23% 27% 32% 30% 22% 29% 28%
Total Not Confident 71% 65% 76% 73% 68% 70% 76% 71% 70%
Don’t Know, Refused 1% 1% 1%       2%   2%
 

 

Do you believe Arizona will have enough water to support residents, agriculture, and future economic growth over the long term?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Yes 27% 34% 20% 25% 31% 24% 22% 30% 28%
Total No 69% 60% 77% 72% 68% 71% 74% 68% 66%
Don’t Know 4% 5% 3% 3% 2% 5% 3% 2% 6%

Do you believe Arizona should strengthen groundwater protections in rural parts of the state that currently have fewer groundwater regulations?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Yes 78% 68% 87% 81% 88% 72% 77% 78% 77%
Total No 12% 19% 6% 7% 8% 16% 13% 12% 10%
Don’t Know 10% 11% 6% 11% 3% 12% 10% 10% 11%
Refused 1% 1% 1%           2%
 

 

Which comes closer to your view?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Arizona needs to build more housing to keep up with growth and affordability needs, even if communities cannot guarantee a long-term water supply. 16% 21% 11% 14% 19% 16% 23% 15% 12%
Arizona should limit new housing development in areas where there isn’t a guaranteed long-term water supply. 78% 72% 83% 83% 78% 83% 72% 77% 81%
Both 0% 0% 1%   2%       1%
Neither 2% 1% 2% 1%     1% 3% 2%
Don’t Know, Refused 3% 4% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 5% 3%
  • Long-term water supplies are voters’ top concern. What specific actions would you take to strengthen Arizona’s water security?
  • Voters support stronger rural groundwater protections and limiting development where long-term water supplies are not assured. How would those priorities guide your approach to growth?
  • Most voters are not confident Arizona’s water systems can support future growth and extreme heat. What would you do to strengthen both water resilience and public confidence?
Immigration

Arizona voters continue to express a pragmatic approach to immigration that reflects the realities of a border state. There are areas of broad agreement around border security, legal immigration, economic opportunity, and effective systems.

The United States should create a clearer and easier legal pathway to citizenship for immigrants who meet established requirements.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Agree 86% 75% 97% 91% 95% 91% 82% 88% 81%
Total Disagree 13% 23% 3% 9% 5% 8% 17% 11% 17%
Don’t Know, Refused 1% 2% 1%     1% 1% 2% 1%
 

 

Mexico is Arizona’s largest trade and tourism partner. Arizona should prioritize both border security and a functioning border for commerce, trade, and legal immigration.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Agree 90% 91% 89% 90% 97% 78% 92% 92% 91%
Total Disagree 8% 7% 9% 6% 2% 18% 6% 6% 7%
Don’t Know, Refused 2% 2% 1% 4% 2% 4% 2% 2% 2%
 

 

Which comes closer to your view?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Arizona and the United States should enforce immigration laws while while making sure to treat immigrants who are legally in the country fairly and respectfully. 74% 57% 89% 83% 76% 82% 74% 72% 71%
Arizona and the United States should prioritize stricter immigration enforcement, even if some legal immigrants experience additional scrutiny or restrictions. 21% 36% 8% 16% 22% 14% 23% 22% 23%
Both 2% 3% 1% 1%   3%   2% 3%
Neither 1% 1% 1%       1% 2% 1%
Other     1%         1%  
Don’t Know, Refused 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1%
  • Arizona voters support both border security and a functioning border for commerce, trade, and legal immigration. What would you do to advance all of those priorities?
  • Voters support a clearer legal pathway to citizenship for immigrants who meet established requirements. What role would you play in advancing that priority?
  • Immigration policy involves federal, state, and local authority. What actions are within the power of the office you are seeking, and where would you work with other levels of government?
  • Immigration has been a long-standing priority with little progress over the decades, despite broad public support for reform. What specific steps will you take to build bipartisan coalitions and advocate for comprehensive immigration solutions?
Elections Issues

The Arizona Voters' Agenda identifies overall majority views on several election issues and reveals meaningful differences in confidence and perspectives across political affiliations. Those differences matter because confidence and shared understanding are essential to participation, representative government, and public trust in election outcomes.

In January 2026, CFA released the statewide Good Elections Project, which surveyed Arizonans broadly — not just likely voters — to better understand the values, expectations, and practices people believe every election should reflect. Together, these findings provide a strong foundation for understanding where Arizona agrees, where perspectives differ, and the opportunities to strengthen confidence in elections moving forward.

In general, how confident are you in the security of elections in Arizona?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total confident 65% 45% 86% 69% 75% 66% 59% 65% 63%
Total not confident 35% 54% 13% 31% 20% 34% 41% 35% 36%
Don’t Know, Refused 1% 0% 2%   5%       1%
 

 

Which of the following statements comes closer to your view about Arizona elections?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Arizona should make getting election results faster a higher priority, even if it means reducing some voting options such as dropping ballots off at polling places prior to or on Election Day. 34% 56% 14% 25% 14% 29% 37% 38% 39%
Arizona should make convenient and accessible voting a higher priority, even if it takes longer to get final election results. 63% 38% 84% 74% 85% 68% 61% 59% 54%
Both 0% 1%           2%  
Neither 1% 3% 1%     3%     3%
Other     1% 1% 2%       1%
Don’t Know, Refused 1% 1% 1% 1%     2% 1% 2%
 

 

When registering to vote, Arizonans must provide documentation proving their identity and citizenship and provide a signature. Voters who vote in person must show photo identification at the polls. Voters who vote by mail must sign their ballot, and election officials verify their identity by comparing the signature on the ballot to the signature on the registration file. Which statement comes closer to your view?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Arizona should require voters to show proof of citizenship beyond a drivers license, such as a birth certificate, before receiving a ballot by mail to help ensure election integrity. 38% 63% 9% 34% 32% 33% 47% 37% 39%
Arizona already has strong voter identification laws, and additional requirements for voting by mail could make it harder for eligible voters to participate. 60% 32% 91% 64% 66% 66% 50% 62% 58%
Both 0% 0%   1%   1% 1%    
Neither 2% 3%   1% 2%   2% 1% 2%
Don’t Know, Refused 0% 1%           1% 1%
 

 

Do you think there are a significant number of non-citizens voting in Arizona elections?

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Yes 41% 72% 11% 31% 37% 32% 49% 43% 41%
Total No 54% 22% 85% 64% 58% 64% 47% 53% 52%
Don't Know 5% 5% 4% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 7%
  • What specific safeguard do you believe is missing from Arizona’s current system? What evidence supports your concerns or proposed election changes?
  • How would you explain Arizona’s election procedures to voters who lack confidence in them?
  • Do you support continuing Arizona’s vote-by-mail system? Why or why not?
  • Will you accept the certified results of the 2026 election? Under what circumstances would you challenge them?
  • How would you measure whether a proposed election change increased security, confidence, or participation?
Education
EDUCATION

For years, Arizona voters have consistently identified education as one of the state's greatest opportunities—and the 2026 Arizona Voters' Agenda shows that commitment remains remarkably strong. Voters share broad agreement across student success, a strong education workforce, investment in K–12, expanded pathways beyond high school, and accountability for public investment.

Arizona voters have identified a comprehensive education agenda. The opportunity now is for candidates and leaders to explain how they would advance these shared priorities and deliver meaningful progress for Arizona's students, families, and future.

Do you agree or disagree? Arizona's future depends on maintaining a strong public education system that prepares students for success in life and work.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Agree 91% 86% 96% 92% 97% 93% 86% 93% 89%
Total Disagree 7% 9% 4% 6% 2% 7% 12% 5% 7%
Don’t Know, Refused 2% 4%   1% 2%   2% 2% 4%

Do you support or oppose? Increasing access to affordable, high-quality early learning opportunities for 3- and 4-year-olds.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Support 79% 69% 90% 82% 86% 92% 80% 82% 67%
Total Oppose 18% 28% 6% 16% 14% 7% 18% 15% 29%
Don’t Know, Refused 3% 3% 4% 1%   1% 2% 4% 4%
 

 

Do you support or oppose? Increasing state investments to help more students afford and attend Arizona's public universities and community colleges.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Support 80% 61% 99% 85% 92% 82% 77% 78% 77%
Total Oppose 17% 33% 1% 13% 8% 16% 21% 19% 18%
Don’t Know, Refused 3% 6%   2%   3% 2% 2% 6%
 

 

Do you support or oppose? Expanding internships, apprenticeships, and other work-based learning opportunities for students.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Support 95% 92% 99% 96% 97% 96% 92% 95% 96%
Total Oppose 3% 4% 1% 3% 2% 3% 6% 1% 3%
Don’t Know, Refused 2% 4% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 4% 1%
 

 

Do you support or oppose? Helping more Arizonans gain job skills and credentials through community colleges and workforce training programs.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Support 96% 93% 100% 97% 100% 97% 90% 97% 97%
Total Oppose 3% 6%   3%   3% 9% 2% 3%
Don’t Know, Refused 1% 1%         1% 2%  
 

 

Do you support or oppose? Ensuring that every student has access to dual enrollment, early college, or other opportunities to earn college credit while in high school.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Support 94% 92% 96% 95% 93% 93% 96% 95% 93%
Total Oppose 3% 5% 1% 4% 5% 3% 2% 3% 4%
Don’t Know, Refused 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% 4% 2% 2% 3%
 

 

Do you agree or disagree? Arizona's future depends on maintaining a strong public education system that prepares students for success in life and work.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Agree 91% 86% 96% 92% 97% 93% 86% 93% 89%
Total Disagree 7% 9% 4% 6% 2% 7% 12% 5% 7%
Don’t Know, Refused 2% 4%   1% 2%   2% 2% 4%
 

 

Do you agree or disagree? Students should have opportunities to explore careers and learn about future job opportunities before graduating from high school.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Agree 98% 98% 97% 99% 100% 99% 98% 98% 97%
Total Disagree 2% 1% 2% 1%   1% 2% 1% 3%
Don’t Know, Refused 0% 0% 1%         1% 1%
 

 

Do you agree or disagree? All schools receiving public funding should publicly report information about student outcomes and performance.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Agree 90% 93% 85% 91% 90% 92% 86% 90% 91%
Total Disagree 8% 5% 11% 8% 10% 7% 13% 6% 6%
Don’t Know, Refused 2% 1% 4% 1%   1% 1% 4% 3%
 

 

Do you agree or disagree? Arizona's education system should ensure students develop strong reading, writing, and math skills.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Agree 98% 98% 98% 98% 100% 100% 96% 98% 98%
Total Disagree 2% 1% 2% 2%     4% 2% 1%
Don’t Know, Refused % % % % % % % % %
 

 

Do you agree or disagree? Arizona's K-12 education system should help students develop the skills needed to think critically, solve problems, and adapt in a changing world.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Agree 98% 97% 99% 98% 100% 100% 94% 98% 97%
Total Disagree 2% 2% 1% 2%     6% 1% 1%
Don’t Know, Refused 1% 1% 1% %       1% 1%
 

 

Do you agree or disagree? Arizona needs to increase the number of students who pursue and complete education or training beyond high school.

  All Likely Voters Republican Democrat IND/UN Age
18-29
Age
30-39
Age
40-49
Age
50-64
Age
65+
Total Agree 87% 78% 94% 91% 88% 84% 89% 86% 87%
Total Disagree 11% 19% 4% 7% 12% 12% 10% 12% 10%
Don’t Know, Refused 2% 3% 1% 1%   4% 1% 2% 3%
  • Arizonans clearly care about education and want to see stronger outcomes. What is your plan to improve education in Arizona?
  • Voters agree on many major education priorities. Where do you see the best opportunity to work across party lines and make progress?
  • What would you do to expand access to affordable, high-quality early learning for Arizona families?
  • What is your plan to improve reading, writing, math, and other student outcomes. How would you measure progress?
  • How would you ensure accountability for schools receiving ESA or voucher funding, including financial reporting, student outcomes, and performance?
  • How would you expand access and help more students enroll in and complete education or training beyond high school?

 

Understanding the 2026 Arizona Voters' Agenda

The Arizona Voters’ Agenda surveys ask about a wide array of issues and topics, and some items do not reach the level of agreement among likely voters required to be included.

The resulting Arizona Voters’ Agenda is built on where there is broad consensus focusing on issues agreed upon by the electorate. By setting a high bar for inclusion—demanding over 50% strong agreement among all voters and agreement across every political affiliation and age group—it ensures the agenda reflects widely supported policies.

This method filters out partisan issues, highlighting priorities with real potential for progress and representing concerns crucial to the vast majority of Arizona's likely voters. This process not only fosters a nonpartisan approach but also aims to provide practical and actionable policy insights for the state.

The Arizona Voters' Agenda intentionally sets a high standard for agreement.

To qualify as an official Arizona Voters' Agenda priority, an action item must rec eive:

  • Strong support from at least 50% of all likely Arizona voters
  • Majority support across Republicans, Democrats, Independents/Unaffiliated voters, and every age group surveyed

This rigorous standard helps identify priorities that reach broadly across Arizona's electorate and represent meaningful opportunities for progress.

CFA partners with HighGround, Inc. to conduct the Arizona Voter’s Agenda surveys.

The first of two statewide 2026 Arizona Voters’ Agenda surveys was conducted on June 15-18, 2026.

The poll surveyed 500 likely Arizona General Election voters with a history of electoral participation and was balanced to reflect expected turnout across party, age, region, and gender.

Live interviews were conducted in English and Spanish among landline and cell phone users.

The partisan advantage was set at +8% GOP based on previous election trends. The margin of error is ±4.3%. Due to rounding, percentages may not total 100.

DEFINITIONS OF SUBGROUPS

All demographics are based on current voter registration files.

  • Republican: those currently registered with the Republican party, based on the party registration currently in their voter file at the time of the survey.
  • Democratic: those currently registered with the Democratic party, based on the party registration currently in their voter file at the time of the survey.
  • Independent/unaffiliated: this group is made up of all other registered voters who are not registered as a Republican or Democrat. Currently, this group is made up of “Other” as defined by the Secretary of State (which includes those who wrote in “independent” or “no party” or “party not declared”) as well as the other recognized parties that represent less than 2% of registered voters in the state (Libertarian: 0.77%, No Labels: 0.68%, and Green 0.07%).

All age groups reflect the current age of voters at the time of the surveys.

  • 20-29
  • 30-39
  • 40-49
  • 50-64
  • 65+

There are two surveys conducted during each election cycle to inform the Arizona Voters’ Agenda.

August 2026 Survey Questions Coming in September

After elections, CFA occasionally sponsors questions in Arizona Public Opinion Polls as needed. Questions and data will be published here as surveys are completed.

We are conducting a second statewide survey of likely Arizona voters this election cycle. Additional findings and questions for candidates and leaders will be released in September 2026, providing further insight into voter priorities and perspectives as Arizona's election conversation continues.

 

The 2026 Arizona Voters’ Agenda initiative is supported in part by Arizona State University, Helios Education Foundation, Pivotal Foundation, and Thomas R. Brown Family Private Foundation. Center for the Future of Arizona is grateful for their investment in trusted, nonpartisan research that helps inform leadership and public dialogue around Arizona's future.